Hopefully this chart looks good in the email: goal differentials per year
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Nashville 17 15 0 -20 1
Canucks 51 77 50 26 -2
Chicago 14 33 62 48 4
Detroit 45 20 13 51 73
Blues 46 6 2 0 -32
Rangers 39 35 4 -8 14
Pens 54 39 20 25 31
Flyers 26 36 11 26 15
Boston 48 51 28 80 -10
For the past four years, looks like the top teams in each conference went to the Finals except in 09 when Boston was clearly ahead of the pack in O and D (Chicago made it the conference finals, lost in 5 games i think). My theory on 2009 for the Pens is that they acquired Kunitz and Guerin who greatly improved their goal differential (they were like 17-1-2 or something during the last two months) so they were probably pretty average before then and then got a super team effort to backend the season, bringing up their paltry goal differential to a measly 25.
Oh, I guess in 2010, the Flyers only had a +11. Chicago was the clear winner there so I guess it doesn't amtter.
The basic idea is that the team with the biggest goal differential will win the cup except 2009. From the teams selected, it looks like a Canucks - Pens Finals, what I rpedicted earlier today. Boston's numbers are inflated from early in the season.. Detroit and Blues aren't far behind, neuither are Rangers.
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